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What do you mean "will"? It's already done. Paper newspapers are going out of business daily,
there's no point to them anymore, any news that you can get from a newspaper tomorrow, you can get
online right this second. Just as newspapers and television killed the slow news moving across the
country with their day-or-two lag time, now the Internet is rightfully putting the last nail in the
coffin of news sources that are less than instant.
Welcome to progress. |
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Printed papers are already obsolete. They're all dinosaurs too stupid to give up and die.
Printed daily papers came about at a time when they were the fastest, most "instant" means of
sharing information across long distances. A daily of a century ago, even a weekly paper, was
incredibly fast at a time when there was no radio or telephone and the only faster means of sharing
information was the telegraph.
Newspapers managed to survive the past 90-odd years growth of "conventional media" (TV, radio,
magazines) because they could bring detail on a lot of stories that radio and television couldn't
while outpacing magazines. But with the advent of 24-hour news in the 1980s (CNN), conglomerates
merging papers to maximize profit, and the proliferation of the Internet, printed news has not
evolved to change with the times.
Magazines will survive, even though though they could be replaced by websites/blogs because they can
present in-depth articles and investigative reporting that will retain readers. But print is gone,
and will probably only survive as local-only 16-32 page tabloids in large cities where specific
local news is in demand.
Distribution costs will likely make any other form or location cost-prohibitive, though currently
existing "free" papers may survive (e.g. The Georgia Straight in Vancouver, BC, or the Village Voice
in New York) because of the uniqueness of their content. |
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 K9  14 Apr 2009 14:48
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Yes for the newsy and political ones. I think some of the crafty ones, the hairstyle ones and the
home decorating ones will survive. So will the crossword puzzle ones because people take these
with them on trips--though I do some puzzles on line, myself. |
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Yeah I think it already has for the most part as most people now are online more than they read the
daily paper. |
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Maybe but i doubt it if that where to happen do you realize how many people would be out of jobs |
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There will come a point where the fact that the printing press is a lot simpler technology will
become relevant. |
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I'll grant the net will continue to marginalize newspapers and magazines until they're a mere
afterthought, and I'll grant major pubs like daily gazettes and such will go bankrupt, but print
will never die out completely. Print allows anonymous distribution of confidential materials
(revolutionary texts, porn, etc) whereas with the Internet there really are government specialists
who are able to do a pretty good job of tracking what came from who and where. Furthermore there
are places you really have a captive audience for reading your publication, such as the Metro paper
handed out for free at major subway stations in the country. You've got to read something while on
the train don't you, and it's free, it gets paid for based on the advertising. So my point is no
matter how popular the web becomes there will still be some things put to press and distributed a
more old fashioned way, either for the capture audience or for the sensitive nature of the subject
matter.
But yeah, if I owned a paper newspaper company right now I'd be looking for a way out and/or a way
to go completely over the net and still be profitable. |
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